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Mountain Weather

Issued
Wednesday, October 14, 2026 - 2:30PM
Author
Rachel Fryan

Weather Synopsis

THIS IS NOT A REAL FORECAST. THIS IS USED FOR TESTING PURPOSES ONLY! NWAC NOR RACHEL IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR YOU NOT READING THIS FIRST LINE AND THINKING THIS IS REAL.

After a brief warm-up late Thursday, we'll be in a prime snow accumulation pattern. A moisture-laden frontal system continues to impact the region with the full array of winter weather, including heavy snow, heavy rain, and possibly freezing rain. The core of the moisture and warm sector is directed from the mouth of Columbia to Mt Rainier and southward as of Thursday afternoon, but plenty of moisture (and a brief warm-up) is spilling north of that boundary as well. With low-level E flow until about 6 PM, we're expecting a brief period of freezing rain before a changeover to rain at Snoqualmie Pass and most locations near and west of the Cascade Crest, up to around 5000 ft in the north and 6000-7000 ft in the south. As the front drags southeast, expect cooler air to return. A secondary front moving through around 8 PM should bring an uptick in rain/snow shower activity in the late evening hours and is likely to trigger convergence, initially over the Mountain Loop, then the Stevens Pass area overnight.

By Friday morning, most areas will see snow levels steady around 1000-2000 ft with light snow showers becoming moderate in the afternoon. Moderate snow showers continue on WSW flow through Saturday with a very subtle increase in snow level, but snow levels should remain below all major passes.

Weather Summary by Zone

Tonight · Wed Oct 14

Moderate rain and snow quickly changing to light snow showers. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.

Tomorrow · Thu Oct 15

Increasing light snow showers. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.

Precipitation and Snow (in)

Precipitation (liquid, in) and new snow by station; Total covers the whole forecast. Precip is the liquid equivalent of all precipitation (rain, snow, ice pellets), to the hundredth of an inch. To estimate snow, start at 10:1 (1" of precip ≈ 10" of snow); near freezing gives less (heavy, wet snow), very cold more (light, dry snow).

StationNight
PrecipSnow
Olympics
Hurricane Ridge0.22"1–3"
West North
Mt Baker Ski Area0.48"4–6"
West Central
Mt Loop — Barlow Pass0.75"6–10"
West South
Crystal Mountain0.59"5–7"
Paradise1.1"9–13"
White Pass1.55"13–19"
Mt St Helens1.55"13–19"
Stevens Pass
Stevens Pass1.25"11–15"
Snoqualmie Pass
Snoqualmie Pass1.01"8–12"
East North
Washington Pass0.68"5–9"
East Central
Mission Ridge0.53"4–6"
Salmon la Sac — Gallagher Head0.93"7–11"
East South
Tieton River — Darland Mt0.8"6–10"
Mt Hood
Mt Hood Meadows2"16–24"
Timberline2.25"19–27"

SnowT–2", 1–7", 5–16", 12"+

Snow and Freezing Level (ft)

The general snow level over each 6 hours; a freezing level instead when no precipitation is expected.

ZoneEveningNight
Olympics4,500' snow level2,000' snow level
West North4,000' snow level2,000' snow level
West Central5,000' snow level2,500' snow level
West South6,000' snow level3,500' snow level
Stevens Pass5,500' snow level3,000' snow level
Snoqualmie Pass5,500' snow level3,000' snow level
East North3,500' snow level2,000' snow level
East Central4,500' snow level3,500' snow level
East South6,500' snow level4,500' snow level
Mt Hood7,500' snow level5,500' snow level

Snow level; none, freezing level<2,000', 2,000', 3,000', 4,000', 5,000', 6,000', 7,000', 8,000', 9,000', 10,000'+

5000' Temperatures (°F)

The high and low at 5000’ within each 12 hours, not a trend. The snow level, synopsis and weather summary say more about how temperatures change.

ZoneWed Oct 14Thu Oct 15
NightDay
Olympics33 / 2024 / 19
West North33 / 2124 / 20
West Central36 / 2124 / 21
West South37 / 2126 / 20
Stevens Pass37 / 2225 / 22
Snoqualmie Pass37 / 2225 / 22
East North32 / 1721 / 14
East Central33 / 2125 / 20
East South37 / 2226 / 19
Mt Hood41 / 2928 / 24

44 / 35 is the high / low

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

The average speed and direction over each 6 hours, from the 16-point compass direction the wind comes from. Ridgeline winds cover a range of elevations, differing by zone, that overlaps the near and above treeline bands of the avalanche forecast.

ZoneEveningNight
OlympicsWSW15–25ModerateW10–20Light to Moderate
West NorthWSW20–30Moderate to StrongW10–20Light to Moderate
West CentralWSW20–30Moderate to StrongW15–25Moderate
West SouthW20–30Moderate to StrongW20–30Moderate to Strong
Stevens PassWSW20–30Moderate to StrongW20–30Moderate to Strong
Snoqualmie PassWSW25–35StrongW30–40Strong
East NorthWSW20–30Moderate to StrongW25–35Strong
East CentralWSW25–35StrongW30–40Strong
East SouthWSW25–35StrongW25–35Strong
Mt HoodWSW30–40StrongW25–35Strong

Points the way the wind blowsVAR: variableWindLight, Light to Moderate, Moderate, Moderate to Strong, Strong, Strong to Extreme, Extreme

Extended

Outlook

The snowy pattern continues. A digging trough offshore brings increased moderate-to-occasionally heavy snow shower activity Saturday night through Sunday, with a more southwesterly wind shift. A secondary lobe of the offshore trough brings additional disturbances and significant snow accumulations.

Snow Levels (ft)

The general snow level over each 6 hours; a freezing level instead when no precipitation is expected.

ZoneNight
West North2,000' snow level
Snoqualmie Pass2,000' snow level
Mt Hood2,000' snow level

Snow level; none, freezing level<2,000', 2,000', 3,000', 4,000', 5,000', 6,000', 7,000', 8,000', 9,000', 10,000'+

This information is provided by the U.S.D.A. Forest Service and describes general backcountry avalanche hazard and conditions. It does not apply to ski areas and highways where avalanche mitigation is conducted.